invisible China
1960年101个中等收入国家,只有13个国家顺利跨越中等收入陷阱,在2008年迈入高收入国家的队伍里。
墨西哥、巴西、泰国、南非已经奋斗超过60年都没有成功摆脱中等收入陷阱。
墨西哥经济停滞
爱尔兰 以色列 台湾 南韩
p27 赶上全球化的浪潮,中国的脱贫之路飞速前进,几十年的时间就进入了中等收入国家队伍,而对于发达国家,他们之前耗费了一个世纪之久。
中国看起来更像是80年代的墨西哥或者土耳其。
p36
2005年开始中国的工资水平上涨,每年约上涨10%
p43
flexibility, complex thinking, and good judgment——are the skills a formal education prepares you for.
P55
The case of Mexico
NAFTA from 2001-2004 Mexico lost an estimated 400,000 jobs to China.
By 2000, Made in Mexico was fast disappearing from Walmart's shelves.
In the early 2000s, when the factory jobs first began to disappear, only about 30% of the Mexican workforce had a high school education or higher.
highly polarized
sony corporation plant moved from Mexico to China in 1998.
P73
The key to avoid the trap is for the top levels of government to give priority to rapidly expanding education for the entire population even before the labor market demands it.
P99
students in German vocational high schools spend 70-80% of their time in general academic classes.
P163
with wages too high to bring back low-skilled manufacturing and skills levels too low to attract higher-value-added work.
China is facing a huge human capital challenge.
p179
why might I be wrong?
labor polarization can be a hugely divisive social force. job can also for a sense of meaning, respect, and belonging within their communities.
P181
人们对未来的预测往往是错误。
第一次工业革命,人们预测将会导致大批的失业潮。
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